Mark Lipton wrote:Nigel Groundwater wrote:I agreed with all your points until this last one which, having read the original Danish study [which was extensively discussed in another forum], seems to be way off what was concluded. I can find no reference to anything which indicated that 'the amount [of alcohol] consumed was largely irrelevant'.
The main conclusions appeared to be 'Drink moderately and exercise - up to 2 drinks per day - and live longer' and 'Drink a lot and don't exercise and die early'.
Well, as they defined "moderate consumption" it was 1-14 drinks per week, which is a fairly big spread, but you're right that they draw a big distinction between moderate and heavy consumption.
Mark Lipton
Indeed having read many of the long term US, UK, Dutch, French studies and some of the meta-studies which looked across many more, the main conclusions appear to be:
1. Teetotalers have a higher rate of all-risk mortality than light to moderate drinkers
2. Cardiac risks are lowered and remain lower than others up to the higher end of moderate drinking before rising like others.
3. Other risks e.g. cancer and stroke reduce [as apparently do all others] versus teetotalers for light drinking and then rise continuously even through moderate drinking and upwards.
Some of the problem in using these studies is that the comparisons are often made with teetotalers since these appear to have a significantly higher risk than light drinkers.
However IMO the more logical conclusions concerning the risks of disease/mortality associated with increasing consumption would be comparisons with very light to light consumption after which point all risks appear to increase with the exception of cardiac – for a while.
In one major study cardiac related mortality appeared not to exceed that of teetotalers until the equivalent of almost a bottle of wine per day was being consumed. However, mortality rates having dropped as with others within a light drinking regime had resumed an upward curve even for cardiac related risk in the moderate range and below half a bottle [of 13% ABV wine] per day.
What appears to hold is that, with the exception of cardiac related issues, all other risks appear to increase from light drinking onwards whereas cardiac remains flatter for longer before also rising.
However there are other major variables that are clearly very important: size, gender, exercise, diet, general health, medication, water consumption et al. The potential for addiction at certain levels is another issue to be considered.
Within the whole population there are clearly individuals with a particular set of variables who should drink nothing to very little while there are others that can drink much more without apparent harm. BUT in the vast majority of cases light to moderate consumption appears the only sensible guideline with people, of course, being free to judge and choose their own level.
Regrettably for most of us that love wine as much for its taste and enhancement of eating as the pleasant buzz it produces, that means distinctly less than half a bottle of 13%ABV wine per day. And while the medics debate the efficacy of alcohol free days and the difference between different types of alcohol on general health, a couple of free days per week would seem a reasonable way to test the potential dependency factor on a regular basis.